Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.029886 0.032244 0.034713 0.037493 0.040541 0.043785 0.047505
2024-12-15 0.026063 0.029435 0.033162 0.037599 0.042757 0.048585 0.055702
2024-12-22 0.023078 0.026956 0.031417 0.036955 0.043689 0.051662 0.061893
2024-12-29 0.021011 0.025214 0.030206 0.036621 0.044714 0.054678 0.068015
2025-01-05 0.019352 0.023754 0.029127 0.036235 0.045493 0.057284 0.073663
2025-01-12 0.017783 0.022250 0.027830 0.035398 0.045531 0.058823 0.077904
2025-01-19 0.016941 0.021587 0.027519 0.035762 0.047097 0.062402 0.085096
2025-01-26 0.016050 0.020784 0.026949 0.035702 0.048031 0.065124 0.091235
2025-02-02 0.015449 0.020318 0.026778 0.036143 0.049648 0.068861 0.099088
2025-02-09 0.014637 0.019509 0.026081 0.035782 0.050065 0.070854 0.104436
2025-02-16 0.013969 0.018857 0.025555 0.035615 0.050723 0.073207 0.110475
2025-02-23 0.013323 0.018197 0.024973 0.035318 0.051145 0.075197 0.116051
2025-03-02 0.012847 0.017760 0.024692 0.035456 0.052246 0.078330 0.123793
2025-03-09 0.012227 0.017084 0.024029 0.034973 0.052345 0.079868 0.128979
2025-03-16 0.011590 0.016352 0.023243 0.034252 0.052008 0.080660 0.132913
2025-03-23 0.011104 0.015820 0.022727 0.033917 0.052259 0.082415 0.138660
2025-03-30 0.010647 0.015310 0.022218 0.033558 0.052438 0.084040 0.144281
2025-04-06 0.010121 0.014672 0.021482 0.032792 0.051883 0.084354 0.147466
2025-04-13 0.009893 0.014479 0.021426 0.033124 0.053198 0.088004 0.157274
2025-04-20 0.009589 0.014156 0.021147 0.033069 0.053834 0.090476 0.164994
2025-04-27 0.009405 0.014011 0.021145 0.033472 0.055289 0.094520 0.176202
2025-05-04 0.009074 0.013619 0.020726 0.033142 0.055413 0.096096 0.182491
2025-05-11 0.008798 0.013305 0.020419 0.032989 0.055842 0.098265 0.190202